Did MJD Make the Right Call?

Bill Belichick was not the only one making unconventional moves on Sunday. With a little over 1:30 left in the Jaguars/Jets game, Jags running back Maurice Jones-Drew took a knee on the Jets 1 yard line instead of scoring. His team was down 21-22 to the Jets at the time, and the Jets had no timeouts left. On PTI today, Tony Kornheiser said it was the wrong move. I believe he even called it "crazy". (His rationale was that the Jags were behind at the time, so they have to take the points.) So, did MJD make right move? My educated guess: an emphatic "absolutely".

By taking a knee, MJD put everything on one kick for the Jags: make it you win, miss it you lose. The kick was essentially an extra point (one yard shorter, in fact). The career conversion percentage of Jags kicker Josh Scobee on extra points: 98.3%. So, MJD almost guaranteed victory by taking a knee. If he scores a touchdown, the Jets have enough time to counter with a touchdown of their own. It is unlikely the Jets can pull it off -- there is only 1:30 left and they have no timeouts -- but I'm gonna go ahead and say it's not even close to 1.7% unlikely. It's probably closer to five, maybe even ten times this. That's the point here. There is Decision A and Decision B. Decision A wins more often than Decision B, so it's the right move. End of. I really don't see how anybody who watches a fair amount of football, let alone hosts a show in which it is featured, could think MJD made a crazy move.